Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000171 0.000188 0.000207 0.000229 0.000253 0.000280 0.000311
2025-10-19 0.000135 0.000160 0.000189 0.000225 0.000270 0.000323 0.000391
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000144 0.000180 0.000227 0.000289 0.000367 0.000477
2025-11-02 0.000100 0.000130 0.000169 0.000224 0.000299 0.000401 0.000551
2025-11-09 0.000090 0.000121 0.000163 0.000224 0.000312 0.000437 0.000631
2025-11-16 0.000080 0.000111 0.000155 0.000220 0.000318 0.000464 0.000702
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000102 0.000146 0.000214 0.000321 0.000484 0.000764
2025-11-30 0.000067 0.000098 0.000144 0.000218 0.000336 0.000527 0.000866
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000095 0.000143 0.000222 0.000354 0.000573 0.000981
2025-12-14 0.000059 0.000089 0.000137 0.000217 0.000356 0.000595 0.001055
2025-12-21 0.000053 0.000082 0.000129 0.000209 0.000351 0.000602 0.001103
2025-12-28 0.000051 0.000080 0.000127 0.000211 0.000364 0.000644 0.001223
2026-01-04 0.000048 0.000077 0.000126 0.000214 0.000380 0.000692 0.001367
2026-01-11 0.000045 0.000073 0.000122 0.000212 0.000387 0.000726 0.001489
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000071 0.000120 0.000214 0.000401 0.000776 0.001654
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000067 0.000116 0.000211 0.000406 0.000808 0.001784
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000211 0.000415 0.000850 0.001946
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000208 0.000417 0.000878 0.002078
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000058 0.000105 0.000202 0.000415 0.000895 0.002184
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000057 0.000104 0.000205 0.000432 0.000957 0.002424
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000056 0.000104 0.000209 0.000451 0.001028 0.002703
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000053 0.000101 0.000205 0.000450 0.001051 0.002849
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000050 0.000095 0.000197 0.000440 0.001049 0.002920